Bitcoin surprisingly stayed steady this week as Global conflicts flared. According to André Dragosch, head of research at Bitwise Europe, the coin’s latest swings have silent.
Investors saw less shake and laugh even after a 7% dip over the weekend. That calm suggests that traders are not spooked by each heading anymore.
Bitcoin volatility drops below layer
Based on reports from Bitwise Europe, Bitcoin realized 60-day 6 volatility Sat at about 27-28% from June 23. That figure tracks the S&P 500 at about 30% and is behind Nasdaq 100 close to 35%.
Gm ☕
I do not now do who needs to hear this but #bitcoin continues to show a lower realized volume than large US stock index despite record -high geopolitical uncertainty. pic.twitter.com/nntw08hera
– André Dragosch, phd⚡ (@andre_dragosch) June 23, 2025
Calm among geopolitical tension
The latest low volatility is particularly clear to rise The Middle East conflicts. News about us bombings in Iran hit the crypto 6% to less than $ 100,000. In the previous crises-as the beginning of the Russia-Ukraine war in February 2022-hoped Bitcoin 60-day realized volatility to about 60-65%. Then trader was sold in panic. Now most buyers and sellers seem to keep the ground.
Long -term holders expand their grip
Based on reports from Glassnode analysts, long-term holders have been a record 14.53 million BTC on a 30-day average from June 23. This is about 70% of the crypto supply’s full supply of 21 million.
Over 30% of coins in circulation rest with only 216 large units – think ETFs, exchanges, guardians and corporate funds. When so many coins are in hibernation, there is less to run hectic trade.
Institutional bets support price views
Market veterans as Bitmex founder Arthur Hayes And OSL’s Eugene Cheung sees this calm as a base for higher prices. They predict that Bitcoin will clear $ 100,000 and stay there when central banks print cash and large investors stack.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R2N9_I3HWPW
Some analysts even eye levels above $ 150,000 By the end of 2025. Such forecasts rest on stable demand and shrinking range of exchanges.
What comes the next for bitcoin
The lower swings suggest that bitcoin matures, with more people who treat it as a regular asset. A quieter market can withdraw more cautious investors. But it will not remain this tame forever.
Large holders can still lead to large features if they sell large pieces. At the moment, Bitcoin’s Steadier Path can mark a turning point that mixes market behavior for the old school with the new forces that shape crypto.
Image from Atta Kenare/AFP/Getty Images, Chart from Tradingview
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