The recent fluctuations in Bitcoin price have split the market again. Some experts warn of a possible deep correction, while others indicate that the current weakness is only a short-term respite before the next upward movement. While the market is reacting emotionally, on-chain data suggests there is no reason to panic. Could Bitcoin Suffer a 50% Drop?
Traditional analysis warns of risks
According to Bloomberg analyst Mike McGlone, the current declines may not be over yet. In his post on the X platform, he said the move below $100,000 could be just one step in a larger correction. The analyst said current events are a possible speed bump towards $56,000.
McGlone recalled that Bitcoin’s previous rallies often ended with a return to the 48-month moving average, which is currently around $56,000.
This forecast suggests a potential decline of up to almost 50% since the recent highs. These types of warnings, especially when they come from well-known analysts, quickly ignite the imagination of investors and cause increased caution in the market.
Chain data shows a softer picture
In turn, data from Glass node in XWIN Research Japan indicate that the current correction may be nearing its end. On November 4, Bitcoin fell to $99,000, breaking below the $100,000 psychological barrier for the first time in over four months. But it recovered to about $101,500 shortly thereafter, according to Coingecko data.
Key indicator on the chain, Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV)decreased to levels that had signaled local lows earlier. Glassnode also drew attention Relative unrealized losswhich currently stands at 3.1%.
Readings at this level have historically coincided with mid-cycle corrections, not full-blown bear markets, the firm stressed.
Glassnode also added that losses below the 5% threshold have historically been in the nature of orderly pricing, not panic selling.
In practice, this means that even if the market is nervous, the structure of the correction does not resemble the scenario of the years when Bitcoin entered a long bear market.
$100,000 Bitcoin – A Speed Hurdle Towards $56,000?
“Watch the chart” has been a mantra of Bitcoin bulls, but the market gods may refresh the humility when prices stretch too far. Synonymous with humility is vicious regression, and my glance at the chart shows how normal it has been for… pic.twitter.com/ijzJ8L4SjT— Mike McGlone (@mikemcglone11) November 6, 2025
Long-term forecasts verified
Even the most famous figures in the investment world are adjusting their predictions today. Cathy Wood z ARK Invest lowered her long-term Bitcoin price forecast by $300,000. She previously expected BTC to plateau by 2030 1.5 million dollarsnow her estimates rather point to 1.2 million.
Wood explained that the growing popularity of stablecoins in emerging markets is partly limiting demand for Bitcoin as a store of value.
Competition from stablecoins is reducing some of the demand for Bitcoin in developing countries, she said.
This shows that even long-term optimists recognize the change in market dynamics and adjust their assumptions.
Market sentiment at a crossroads
Investor sentiment is tested by both data and narrative. Short-term price volatility remains high, but key indicators on the chain remain in ranges that do not indicate extreme stress.
Some analysts and hedge fund managers still warn of possible deeper declines. Investors must therefore weigh technical analysis, blockchain signals and changing trends in the use of Bitcoin and other digital assets.
New Technology is Changing the Bitcoin Landscape – Bitcoin Hyper is Coming
It is in this context that there is more and more talk about projects that aim to strengthen the foundations of BTC’s ecosystem. One of the most promising is Bitcoin Hyperthe first ever two-layer solution for Bitcoin.
His goal is network improvement and introduces features that Bitcoin has not offered until now. It’s about instant transactions and support smart contractsdecentralized applications or even memecoins.
Bitcoin Hyper runs parallel to Bitcoin’s main chain using Solana virtual machine in zero proof of knowledge. This enables scalability and transaction security.
Great interest from investors
Investors have already noticed the project’s potential. In pre-order Bitcoin Hyper over collected 26 million dollarsa cena socks $HYPER is currently $0.013235. This is proof that the market is looking for innovations that will not only increase the functionality of Bitcoin, but also open up new opportunities for the world DeFiNFTs and blockchain games.
The $HYPER token is not only used for transaction fees, but also for strike guy and participation in network management. In addition, the project has booked as many as 30% of the total supply for further development, which indicates the team’s long-term ambitions.
Why Bitcoin Hyper can be important during correction periods
At a time when part of the market fears further declines, projects like Bitcoin Hyper can play a key role in diversify and increase the utility of Bitcoin. The introduction of layer 2 can improve throughput, reduce transaction fees. This could make Bitcoin more competitive with other ecosystems like Ethereum or Solana.
For investors looking for cryptocurrencies for investment$HYPER can be an interesting option, not as an alternative to Bitcoin, but as its extension, strengthening the capacity of the entire network.
The market is looking for balance
The cryptocurrency market is at a turning point. On the one hand, there are still voices warning that BTC will fall by up to half. On the other hand, data and technological developments show that the fundamentals of the ecosystem are stronger than ever.
Today when more and more people are watching best cryptocurrency exchange to buy digital assets, it is worth remembering that it is not only the price that counts, but also how the projects actually affect the future of blockchain technology.
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