Key dealers
- Bitcoin’s historic four -year bicycle suggests a major return in 2026, but Trump’s executive order can change that pattern.
- Institutional adoption, rules of regulatory and a growing mainstream economic presence can maintain the bull market longer than expected.
Bit bit CIO matte note to investors such as Bitcoin’s four -year bicycle can be disturbed because of Trump’s new crypto -focused executive order.
Bitcoin, which currently acts over $ 102,000 with $ 100,000 as a support level, is expected to reach $ 200,000 in 2025 in the middle of mainstream adoption and increasing flows in Spot Bitcoin ETFs, the Hougan pronounced.
Crypto’s typical pattern of three years of gains followed by a sharp correction may not be developed as expected in 2026.
Trump’s executive order, which establishes digital assets as a national priority, provides a framework for regulatory clarity and increased institutional participation.
“With banks, asset managers and companies that are now positioning themselves in space, (this) can maintain demand for bitcoin in addition to its typical bicycle,” Houna said.
The market is currently focused on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s comment, which can affect the runway for risk resources including Bitcoin.
Hougan identified potential risk factors, including increased leverage and bitcoin lending programs.
While a market correction remains possible, he expects it to be a shorter and less serious than previous declines, with reference to institutional investors and long -term buyers as stabilizing forces.